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Pagaya (PGY) Interactive Stock Price Dashboard

Pagaya (PGY) Interactive Valuation Dashboard

Dynamically Forecast Stock Prices by Adjusting Key Model Drivers

Assumption Controls

Ann. Network Volume Growth 25%
FRLPC Margin 4.9%
New Forward Flow Deals ($B/yr) $2.0B
Avg. Fed Funds Rate 3.5%
Avg. Annual GDP Growth 2.0%
Avg. Unemployment Rate 4.2%

Load Scenarios

Forecasted Stock Price

1-Year Target

$55

3-Year Target

$95

5-Year Target

$140

Pagaya Technologies (PGY) – Quantitative Stock Analysis

Pagaya Technologies (PGY): A Quantitative Stock Analysis

Forecasting Future Value Based on Key Performance Drivers and Market Scenarios

The AI-Powered Lending Network

Pagaya operates a B2B2C model, using its proprietary AI to offer a ‘second look’ at loan applications initially declined by lending partners. This expands credit access for consumers while providing a new stream of approved customers for partners and diverse assets for investors. The model is capital-light, generating revenue primarily from fees rather than holding credit risk.

135+

Institutional Investors

$9.7B

Record 2024 Network Volume

31

Lending Partners

Core Financial Performance Drivers

Pagaya’s growth hinges on scaling its network, optimizing fees, and managing production costs effectively.

Stock Price Forecast Scenarios

Bear Case

$45

1-Year Target

Slower network growth (10%), margin pressure, and unfavorable macro conditions.

Base Case

$55

1-Year Target

Consistent growth (25%), stable margins, and moderate economic environment.

Bull Case

$90

1-Year Target

Accelerated growth (>40%), margin expansion, major new partnerships.

Multi-Year Price Projections